- tags
- Predictive Analytics Digisprudence
Notes
I. INTRODUCTION
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legal decision making relies increasingly on predictive algorithms to determine individual rights and interests.
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epistemic effect of algorithmic knowledge on the construction of legal subjectivity—the capacity to be recognized by law
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personal narratives of defendants become less important than the statistical features they share with historical recidivists.
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diminishes the participation of the legal subject in the epistemic processes
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exclusion of legal subjects from the production of knowledge about themselves has participatory, dignitary, and expressive effects, as power over self-articulation is transferred from the legal subject to the data capitalist.
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The purpose of algorithmic subjectivity is not to faithfully portray the underlying flesh-and-blood individual using a one-to-one correspondence, but to facilitate their classification for “stochastic governance” through the identification of high-level behavioral patterns.
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the algorithmic subject deliberately avoids the underlying individual;
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individuals are relatively good at predicting their own behavior.
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the rituals of law, including legal subjecthood, matter not only as devices for achieving certain legal outcomes, but as affirmations of respect for the individual.
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a conception of citizens as alterable, predictable, or manipulable things “is the foundation of a very different social order.” When the basic unit of a liberal society is no longer an autonomous, unknowable individual, but an algorithmic subject anticipating its own datafication, the law ceases to address free and equal subjects and instead manages the “threat posed by particular categories” of people.
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Biopolitics
predictive algorithms reflect persistent optimism that individual-level interventions can overcome the structural forces that sustain patterns of criminality.
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society neglects investments in social infrastructure in favor of predicting individual behavior using models that require the persistence of existing disparities in order to be effective.
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II. THE TRADITIONAL LEGAL SUBJECT
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A. Mental Autonomy
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assumes that individuals possess the mental autonomy required to interpret and apply such instructions to their particular circumstances.
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reflects society’s normative commitment to individual autonomy.
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Although this approach bears more risk to public safety (not interfering until harm has occurred), that risk is “the price we pay for general recognition that a man’s fate should depend upon his choice.”
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would expose every individual to unlimited legal sanction, for the test would not be our intentions but “sheer accident; and accident, by definition, may befall us all.”
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B. Physical Autonomy
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bus companies would have less incentive to improve the safety of their services because liability would bear no relationship to their individual conduct. In the absence of any other identifying evidence, the largest operator in any given area would always be held liable for any unexplained accidents.
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hear this argument a lot and it never really makes sense to me. the largest operator is certainly still incentivized to reduce accidents, and even the smaller operators are only off the hook in the absence of evidence, which they can't rely on. it's not awesome but it's better than rando pedestrians bearing the risk. also disagree with the premise that a bus company ought to be treated as the same kind of legal subject as a person - using statistical evidence against a company doesn't have the previously discussed effect of eroding normative commitment to individual autonomy. a company is not an individual! and the individuals involved in the company are probably shielded from liability. what's the problem?
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III. THE ALGORITHMIC SUBJECT
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Rogers encouraged actuaries to classify rather than to aggregate, to “personalize” risk ratings, and to construct risk classes.
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Insurers framed economic security as an individual responsibility rather than a right of citizenship, justifying a reduced role for the state and securing the indispensability of their own services.
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The actuarial subject of the twentieth century has been reborn as the algorithmic subject of the twenty-first.
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A. Legal Legitimation
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B. Biopower
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shields their practices from regulatory scrutiny on the basis that they are delivering statistical “truth.”
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the model will not reflect differences between individuals “along dimensions that are not captured by covariates.”
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low confidence that an individual’s personal probability of failing to appear was similar to the probability ascribed to them by their risk group.
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Data science recalibrates the physical body as a site of information processing so that users are motivated by biometric data obtained through self-surveillance, rather than bodily signs of hunger, pain, and stress.
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debtors are compelled to participate in the credit score game in order to counter its marginalizing effects.
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These behaviors do not alter the “riskiness” of the underlying financial subject, but are designed to make debtors appear more “trustworthy” to financial institutions.
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fraud monitoring systems establish an invisible boundary between permissible and impermissible consumption.
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IV. THE DEATH OF THE LEGAL SUBJECT
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A. Mental Autonomy
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B. Physical Autonomy
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algorithmic subjects have no physical autonomy.221 Their actions are predetermined by the average historical behavior of their statistical predecessors.
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when the algorithmic subject displaces the analog legal subject as the target of decision making, the opportunities available for the legal subject to exercise their full autonomy are reduced.
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The prediction itself affects the outcome it claims to predict.
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Judicial reliance on predictive algorithms exacerbates the autonomy-eroding effects of incapacitation
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ignores a defendant’s capacity to diverge both from their own past and from their statistical peers—that is, their capacity to be an outlier.
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an algorithmic score cannot be “controlled” by the individual it claims to represent
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substantial empirical evidence that human decision makers tend to accept, rather than challenge, quantitative assessments and to assign greater weight, amongst a set of variables, to the variable that has been quantified.
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C. Future Potentiality
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require the persistence of existing disparities in order to be effective. Applying a fairness constraint to account for the effects of structural inequalities would reduce the accuracy of the predictive model and its ability to use historical data to predict future outcomes.
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Pattern-based discrimination produces a “seemingly permanent economic underclass,” bound on all sides by historical data and the self-reinforcing loop of predictive profiling.
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a White time that is “futurally open” (indeterminate), and a non-White time that is “futurally closed” (predetermined).300 Philosopher Charles Mills describes this as the “racialization of time”—the transfer of time from one set of lives to another.
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The algorithmic administration of populations, or “stochastic governance,”302 secures the data freedom of a minority of elites while categorizing and disciplining the “risky” majority,
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D. The Epistemological Inferiority of the Algorithmic Subject
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the algorithm assigns greater epistemic weight to public institutional data than the unrecorded experience of parenting.
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E. The Redistribution of Expressive Power
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When criminal defendants have few meaningful opportunities to share their personal stories, the institution suffers the loss of their perspective.
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V. IS THE LEGAL SUBJECT WORTH SAVING?
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Contemporary legal systems need a new conception of self, a new legal subject, that retains and expresses our fundamental commitment to equality and autonomy but pays greater attention to the social relations that constitute the self and, therefore, the legal subject.
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VI. CONCLUSION
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